The betting line on Anderson Silva and Stephan Bonnar’s fight for the hearts of Brazil has been posted, and Bonnar is not the favorite. In fact he is an 8.5 to 1 underdog—or, if you prefer to focus on the positive in life, a 750% bonus pick. Don’t get bogged down in negativity. There are plenty of ways The American Psycho might not lose to Silva in October:

  1. The fight is moved from the HSBC Arena in Rio de Janeiro to a child’s imagination, and that child is super into Tae Kwon Do.
  2. Silva pulls out with an injury and, to avoid canceling, Dana White makes three new co-main events: Bonnar versus Fabio Maldonado, Tito Ortiz versus a room full of bats and Chuck Liddell versus his collar button.
  3. Flying heel hook.
  4. The night before the fights, all the judges go out to Rio Golden Corral together and get food poisoning, so the bout is scored by Douglas Crosby, Cecil Peoples and Arianny Celeste.
  5. After feeling him out for the first 30 or 40 seconds, Anderson Silva plants his right foot, feints the jab and then pivots to a spinning elbow, which Bonnar avoids by stepping back into southpaw. He feints the lead jab and shoots for a takedown, and Silva knees him directly on the bridge of the nose, pulverizing his skull into a fine dust. Silva inhales the dust and collapses. Technically this would be a no contest.

If you’ve got a hundred bucks you don’t need, by all means, put it on Stephan Bonnar at UFC 153. Or consider that you can put $1350 on Silva and win an easy hundred bucks. You’d be a fool not to, right? Thirteen hundred dollars is a lot of money, though, and MMA is not boxing. Anything could happen.

(Dan Brooks is the man behind the most excellent Combat Blog, and for the entire month of September he is gracing us with his guestblogging presence here at Fightlinker.)