The UFC 146 headliner saga continues as the world tries to figure out what the hell the UFC is doing by going ahead and trying to get a license for Alistair Overeem. If by some miracle or legal trickery he manages to stay in the fight, I may lose all faith in the entire testing and commission system. For a few days anyways, then I’ll probably just get excited for Overeem vs Dos Santos.

But even though Overeem’s got his bigtime lawyer on this, Frank Mir’s manager Malki Kawa thinks the commission application is just a formality on the way to an opponent switch:

“The latest is the following: I think if you notice the [Cris] Cyborg thing, she was never stripped of her title until they go in front of the commission and get their cases heard and stuff, and now her title’s been officially stripped,” Kawa explained to MMA Weekly Radio. “The same thing happens with things of this nature.

“Overeem’s not officially out yet until the Nevada State Athletic Commission decides.”

Kawa believes the reason for the UFC not acting sooner to announce Overeem’s replacement is due to the fact that the challenger’s fight contract currently is not broken. Only when the NSAC delivers its ruling can Overeem be removed from the fight.

The other depressingly possible way many are expecting this to go is the TRT route:

The Nevada state athletic commission’s TUE procedures require a fighter to apply for an exemption within 20 days of a fight. If Overeem presents a TRT defense, he could say he was not required to inform them of his use at the time of his March 27 test. If employed, it will be a risky strategy, but he may have some wiggle room. In standard pre-fight drug tests, athletes fill out questionnaires that ask them to list any medications they are taking. In a form such as that, he would have been required to list TRT or any other drug he was being prescribed. But NSAC executive director Keith Kizer confirmed to MMA Fighting that during the March test, there were no questionnaires given to the fighters.

TRT seemed pretty bullsh*t to most people when we learned Todd Duffee was using it, and the idea that Alistair Overeem has a testosterone deficiency is one of the most patently absurd on it’s face arguments anyone could make. It’d almost be worth seeing them try to make it, just to see what the reaction would be like.